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Sarah Gigante Crowned on Willunga Hill | Santos Tour Down Under 2024

Early in the 2024 season Australian climber Sarah Gigante won her first WorldTour stage and GC with a strong performance on Willunga Hill. The new recruit for AG Insurance Soudal Team attacked early on the famous climb, dropping everyone off her wheel in a strong headwind.

Santos Tour Down Under Stage 3 2024 profile by La Flamme Rouge

After winning an uphill sprint on Stage 2, Cecilie Uttrup Ludwig was the race leader before the Queen stage. Sarah Gigante won on Willunga Hill in the 2021 Santos Festival of Cycling which happened with only Australian riders on the startlist due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Gigante beat closest rival Lucy Kennedy by a minute on Willunga Hill, attacking early on and setting her tempo, however that stage had more favourable wind conditions for a fast performance.

Willunga Hill (3.4 km, 7.4%) is not a steep or long climb but it is enough to create big gaps as Richie Porte proved multiple times in the men’s race, dominating on the climb almost every year. With the first 1.5 kilometres being the steepest, the gradient there being over 8%, it is the best time to attack as the draft benefi is not as high as later in the climb.

The QOM owner of the climb, Sarah Gigante attacked with 2.8 km to go after Lidl-Trek had paced the start of the climb. No one could match her speed up Willunga. Despite the strong headwind, 500 metres into her attack race leader Uttrup Ludwig was distanced.

Willunga Hill – Australia – cycling – cyclisme – radsport – wielrennen – Gigante Sarah (AUS / AG Insurance – Soudal Team) pictured during 8th Santos Tour Down Under (2.WWT) Stage 3 Adelaide : Willunga Hill (93.4km) – Photo: Dion Kerckhoffs/Cor Vos © 2024

Gigante did not beat her Willunga Hill record from 2021 but her effort was enough to win the stage and GC. The Australian climbed it in 10:19 min with 5.92 ᵉW/Kg (power normalised for a 60kg rider). It probably will remain as of the strongest climbing efforts in 2024. It was the strongest headwind in our database for any climbs. With the same power output in neutral wind, Gigante would have done the climb 25 seconds faster.

19-year-old Nienke Vinke lost by 16 seconds to Gigante and pushed 5.71 ᵉW/Kg, while Australians Neve Bradbury and Amanda Spratt did 5.60 ᵉW/Kg. Gigante got her first GC title and World Tour win, making her new team AG Insurance-Soudal and Patrick Lefevere happy, judging from his numerous social media posts celebrating the victory. She joined the Belgian team after mutually terminating her contract with Movistar after a tough couple of seasons.

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In 2021 Gigante did the best short climbing effort on Willunga we have recorded. She pushed 6.27 ᵉW/Kg for 9:25 min with a slight tailwind. 54 seconds faster than in 2024. It was a slight tailwind in 2021, while in 2024 a strong headwind.

Due to battling health issues for multiple years Gigante has not yet fulfilled her potential or even come close to it, with her immense talent showcased back in 2019 on this very same climb. With her time-trial skills, she might become the future Tour de France winner. The stage before Willunga Hill was not hard but if she has good fatigue resistance and health anything is possible, and she could not have kicked off her 2024 season with a new team in any better fashion.

The Top 10 Climbing Performances of 2023

With the 2023 season behind us, it is once again time to rank the best of the best – the top 10 climbing performances of the year. The climbing level this season was so exceptionally high, that performances that would have cracked the Top 10 in each of the last 20 years had to be left out (they will be listed as honourable mentions). This is mostly thanks to a certain Dane, who had what might be the most dominant climbing season we have ever seen.

Before we delve into the ranking, I would like to clarify the factors that were taken into account when creating this list. Firstly, the most important factor is obviously the estimated etalon power of the performance. However this alone does not tell the whole story of a performance, factors such as altitude were included with a mathematical model, while other limiting factors such as fatigue from the stage or previous stages were taken into account based on kilojoule data. It should also be noted that only efforts above 5 minutes fall into our definition of a climbing performance, so shorter efforts, like Pogacar on Mur de Huy will not be included.

Honourable Mentions

Jebel Hafeet – United Arab Emirates – cycling – cyclisme – radsport – wielrennen – Remco Evenepoel (BEL – Soudal – Quick Step) – Adam Yates (GBR – UAE Team Emirates) pictured during UAE Tour 2023 – 5th Edition – stage 7 from Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium to Jebel Hafeet (153km) – Photo: Luca Bettini/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023
  • Remco Evenepoel and Adam Yates on Jebel Hafeet (UAE Tour): 26’02min @ 6,78ᵉw/kg and 25’52min @ 6,72ᵉw/kg.
  • Remco Evenepoel and Primoz Roglic on Lo Port (Volta a Catalunya): 24’00min @ 6,90ᵉw/kg and 23’54 @ 6,87ᵉw/kg.
  • Jonas Vingegaard on Alto de Arrate – Izua (Itzulia Basque Country): 11’17min @ 7,46ᵉw/kg.
  • Adam Yates on Thyon 2000 (Tour de Romandie): 58’35min @ 5,95ᵉw/kg.
  • Juan Ayuso on Albulapass (Tour de Suisse): 32’50min @ 6,15ᵉw/kg.

There are certainly a number of other worthy mentions during this season of incredible climbing level, but we will leave it at five performances so as not to extend this article too long.

10. Jonas Vingegaard and Tadej Pogacar on Col de Joux Plane.

Tour de France Stage 14, Col de Joux Plane until Ruisseau du Plonet (first 10,10km; 8,51%; 860m)

28:22min @ 6,49ᵉw/kg

We are starting off with a performance that could have been much higher, after a very hard stage and a fierce battle on the first 28 minutes of the climb, which Pogacar and Vingegaard climbed as fast as Marco Pantani in 1997. However the two Tour de France superstars decided to have a coffee ride in the last 5’30min of the climb, averaging just 4,90ᵉw/kg for this time period, lowering the overall average watts.

Morzine – France – cycling – Vingegaard Jonas (DEN) of Jumbo-Visma – Tadej Pogacar Team UAE Emirates pictured during 110th Tour de France (2.UWT) – stage 14 from Annemasse to Morzine les Portes du Soleil (151.8km) – Photo: POOL/Cor Vos © 2023

Nonethless, this is a remarkable performance by both Jonas Vingegaard and Pogacar who were way ahead of the competition once again and proved that, even after hard stages, there are not many unbreakable climbing records for this new generation.

9. Jonas Vingegaard on Puerto de Bejes

La Vuelta a España Stage 16, Puerto de Bejes (4,90km; 8,69%; 426m)

13:11min @ 7,40ᵉw/kg

Bejes – Spain – cycling – Jonas Vingegaard (DEN – Jumbo – Visma) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 16 – Liencres Playa > Bejes (120.1km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Due to the tactical racing on this climb it’s impossible to know how fast Vingegaard’s opponents could’ve climbed. What we do know however is that the Dane once again unleashed a generational performance, that can be considered one of the highest level single climb performances in the last 25 years.

The absolutely perfect conditions right after a rest day with cool weather and just 2,415 kj before the climb certainly aided this performance, but that still does not change how impressive this feat was. It would be very interesting to have seen how fast Roglic could have climbed up Bejes considering his level on Angliru the next day and the fact that a very impressive Finn Fisher Black lost ‘only’ 43 seconds. My guess is that he could’ve finished within 20-30 seconds of Vingegaard, but we will obviously never know.

8. Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard on Puy de Dome.

Le Tour de France Stage 9, Puy de Dôme (13,35km; 7,73%; 1032m)

Tadej Pogacar: 35’11min @ 6,50ᵉw/kg
Jonas Vingegaard: 35’19min @ 6,47ᵉw/kg

The third showdown between Jonas Vingegaard and Tadej Pogacar in the Tour de France was a close contest on the historically famous Puy de Dome ascent. Jumbo Visma set a high tempo from the start of the climb, but after their work was done it was Pogacar, not Vingegaard who attacked and obtained a gap. Vingegaard followed in close pursuit just a few meters behind, while the rest of the favourites lost 40 seconds or more in the last 2 kilometers.

Breaking the century old climbing records was not a surprise, but the dominance which Tadej Pogacar showed on this climb certainly was. This performance remains the highest level single climb performance in the Slovene’s career, while Jonas Vingegaard also worked at close to his peak level. The easy stage before the climb does relegate this performance to ‘just’ number 8 in the ranking.

7. Jonas Vingegaard on Col de la Croix de Fer.

Col de la Croix de Fer – France – cycling – Vingegaard Jonas (DEN) of Jumbo-Visma celebrating his victory pictured during 75th CritŽrium du DauphinŽ (2.UWT) stage 7 from Porte-de-Savoie to Col de la Croix de Fer (147.9km) – Photo: Vincent Kalut/PN/Cor Vos © 2023

Criterium du Dauphiné Stage 7, Col de Croix de Fer Top (6,80km; 8,01%; 545m)

17’59min @ 6,69ᵉw/kg

This performance was a clear sign that Jonas Vingegaard would be extremely hard to beat in the upcoming Tour de France. Considering the very difficult stage with two Hors Categorie climbs and 3,334kj spent before the Croix de Fer, the conditions were far from perfect for a high level climbing performance. But as Vingegaard has shown in the past, fatigue does not seem to impact him.

After a short leadout into the bottom, the Dane took off, immediately detaching a flying Adam Yates and eventually putting 41 seconds into him – a massive gap on such a short climb. This was only possible as the effort of Vingegaard at an altitude of over 2,000 meters was absolutely astronomical.

6. Jonas Vingegaard and Primoz Roglic on Alto de l’Angliru.

Vuelta a España Stage 17, Alto de l’Angliru (12,20km; 10,49%; 1280m)

41’24min @ 6,43ᵉw/kg

The climb of the Angliru has the perfect conditions for high climbing numbers due to the low altitude, short stages which it is featured on and consistently high gradient, which usually leads to a high tempo from the start of the climb. Therefore it was no suprise that also this year, many riders achieved personal best performances. This does not only go for the fastest riders but even for 10+ riders.

Altu de LÕAngliru – Spain – cycling – Primoz Roglic (SLO – Jumbo – Visma) – Jonas Vingegaard (DEN – Jumbo – Visma) – Sepp Kuss (USA – Jumbo – Visma) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 17 – Ribadesella/Ribeseya > Altu de LÕAngliru (124.4km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

This performance was probably the hardest to rank as the pure watts are close to the best of the entire year, but the ideal conditions made nearly everyone perform at their best. What the conditions did not affect however was the Jumbo dominance on this climb. At one point Roglic, Vingegaard and Kuss were at the head of the race, before the Slovenian attacked, which ended up dropping Kuss, who retained the red jersey by just a few seconds. The closest challengers on the day were Bahrain’s Mikel Landa and Wout Poels who had career best performances as well.

5. Jonas Vingegaard on Col du Tourmalet.

La Vuelta a España Stage 13, Col du Tourmalet (18,74km; 7,47%; 1400m)

50’47min @ 6,09ᵉw/kg

After looking far from dominant in the lead up to this stage, Jonas Vingegaard cemented himself as the best climber in the race on the first multi-mountain summit finish, ending on Col du Tourmalet. The stage was ridden extremely hard right from the start, which led to favourites Remco Evenepoel and Joao Almeida already dropping on the first climb of the day. This was the Col d Aubisque ascent, which the Peloton climbed at 5,84ᵉw/kg for 44’07min – just 49 seconds slower than Michael Rasmussens legendary record established in 2007.

Col du Tourmalet – France – cycling – Jonas Vingegaard (DEN – Jumbo – Visma) escape – breakaway pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 13 – Formigal Huesca la Magia : Col du Tourmalet (134.7km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Vingegaard was even part of a group that attacked on the following descent, but was caught on the next climb, the Col de Spandelles. Vingegaard added another attack here, but as the tempo was not very high on this ascent, it did not lead to any visible results. The main action of the day happened on final climb to Tourmalet, which Team Jumbo Visma climbed at a consistent high tempo, before Vingegaard launched with just under eight kilometers to go. He held a large gap over the chasing group which included Kuss, Roglic, Ayuso and Uijtdebroeks and took the stage by 30 seconds ahead of Kuss and 33 seconds ahead of Roglic, who had slightly distanced the other chasers – a scary domination of strength by Jumbo, which would be repeated in the coming mountain stages as well.

4. Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard on Col du Tourmalet and Cauterets.

Tour de France Stage 6:

Col du Tourmalet (Last 4,81km; 9,02%; 434m)

Jonas Vingegaard: 13’27min @ 6,91ᵉw/kg
Tadej Pogacar: 13’27min @ 6,83ᵉw/kg

Côte de Cauterets – Route de Cambasque (5,20km; 7,60%; 395m)

Tadej Pogacar: 12’58min @ 6,75ᵉw/kg
Jonas Vingegaard: 13’22min @ 6,64ᵉw/kg

Cauterets-Cambasque – France – cycling – Tadej Pogacar (SLO – UAE Team Emirates) pictured during 110th Tour de France (2.UWT) – stage 6 from Tarbes to Cauterets-Cambasque (144.9km) – Photo: Luca Bettini/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

After Jonas Vingegaard dominated the previous stage over Marie Blanque, Jumbo Visma tried to end the Tour de France for good with a long range move on the Tourmalet. However the tempo in the first 30min of the climb was very slow, in order to keep the breakaway containing Van Aert ahead, so that he might be able to help in the valley before Cauterets. This possibly helped Pogacar stay on the wheel of Vingegaard when the Dane launched and set an unbelievable tempo in the last 10 minutes of the climb. The main group were distanced by two minutes, but unlike one day earlier, Tadej Pogacar was glued to Vingegaard’s wheel – temporarily saving his Tour de France campaign.

The final climb to Cauterets offered a much larger drafting benefit due to the shallow gradient and after Van Aert had finished his pull, Vingegaard immediately took the front without hesitation. This overconfidence, likely created by the domination on Marie Blanque, cost the Dane, as Pogacar distanced Vingegaard with an immense acceleration and managed to increase the gap to 24 seconds at the finish. This performance brought Pogacar back into the race and showed that he was still capable of reaching his 2020 climbing level, which he had not shown since then. Among Pogacar’s climbing performances this is perhaps the best of his career, although Puy Mary and Col de la Loze from Tour de France 2020 can be argued to be his best as well.

3. Jonas Vingegaard on Marie Blanque.

Tour de France Stage 5, Col de Marie Blanque (7,90km; 8,49%; 671m)

20’58min @ 6,92ᵉw/kg

Laruns – France – cycling – Jonas Vingegaard Team Jumbo Visma pictured during 110th Tour de France (2.UWT) – stage 5 from Pau to Laruns (162.7km) – Photo: Vincent Kalut/Nico Vereecken/PN/Cor Vos © 2023

Expectations were high for the first mountain stage of the Tour de France, but Jonas Vingegaard quickly shattered them, looking extremely dominant on the Marie Blanque climb. He quickly detached Tadej Pogacar after his attack and averaged 7,25ᵉw/kg for the last 12’02min. He opened up a 37 second gap on Pogacar and Kuss, who had remained in the wheel of the Slovenian, after setting up Vingegaard attack.

Pogacar was by no means bad on this day however, as he was nearly one minute faster than in 2020, whilst Vingegaard broke that record from 2020 by 1’29min, a historic margin over such a short climb. The following descent and short section also aided Vingegaard, as he managed to increase his gap to 1’04min. The other story of the day was Jai Hindley, who had joined the early breakaway and managed to stay away from the favourites group to take the stage win and the yellow jersey, which he would lose on the next day.

2. Jonas Vingegaard on Col de la Loze

Tour de France Stage 17, Col de la Loze (11,20km; 8,54%; 956m)

32’42min @ 6,28ᵉw/kg*
*Time of car incident removed.

Tadej Pogacar’s dramatic blowup might’ve been the story of the day, but Jonas Vingegaard’s performance was quite comparable to his historic effort in the time trial the day before. After an extremely difficult stage with 4,132kj / 64,2kj/kg before the final climb, the Dane distanced the nearest competitor Adam Yates by two minutes on the climb. He also smashed the already very quick record set by Miguel Angel Lopez in 2020, improving on the time of the colombian by 52 seconds.

Courchevel – France – cycling – Marc Soler Team UAE Emirates – Tadej Pogacar Team UAE Emirates pictured during 110th Tour de France (2.UWT) – stage 17 from Saint-Gervais Mont-Blanc to Courchevel (165.7km) – Photo: Tim van Wichelen/Cor Vos © 2023

Vingegaard proved himself to be the absolute king of high endurance mountain stages, while Pogacar’s blow-up leaves some questions open. Are the continued problems on these stages (Mont Ventoux 2021, Col du Granon 2022, Col de la Loze 2023) just a result of unfortunate circumstances or a genuine weakness? I guess we will have to wait and see…
Another performance worth mentioning was stage winner Felix Gall, who really showcased his talent on Col de la Loze, as well as on Stage 20.

1.Jonas Vingegaard on Côte de Domancy, Combloux.

Tour de France Stage 16 (ITT), Côte de Domancy to Combloux (6,05km; 6,84%; 414m)

13’31min @ 7,38ᵉw/kg

It will probably come as no surprise that this legendary performance from Jonas Vingegaard ended up at the top of our list, although the effort up Col de la Loze was pretty close. Vingegaard distanced Pogacar by 1’07min on the longer climbing section which was 40% of the total time trial duration. It is also interesting to note that Vingegaard remained on his time trial bike for the climbing section, while Pogacar switched to a climbing bike.

In the sections before the climb, which were mostly flat but included a smaller hill and a short technical descent, Vingegaard also gained 31 seconds on Pogacar – his dominance was not limited to the climbing part of the time trial. The scary part are the gaps to the positions behind Pogacar however, with Van Aert coming in 2’51min down in 3rd place. The gaps from Vingegaard to 2nd and 3rd place in percent of total time were 5% and 8,7% – both the largest in Time Trials in modern Tour de France history (1990 – Present).

That makes this performance not only the best climbing performance of the year, but also a serious contender for the greatest time trial in the history of Le Tour de France.

Combloux – France – cycling – Jonas Vingegaard (DEN – Jumbo – Visma) pictured during 110th Tour de France (2.UWT) – stage 16 from Passy to Combloux ITT (22.4km) – Photo: Kei Tsuji/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Below you can see all performances in the Top 10 in a graph with standard trend-lines. This year, the pink trendline was reached for the first time since 2009. And not only once. It was broken a total of three times, all by Jonas Vingegaard, on Izua (Honourable Mention), Combloux (1st in Ranking) and Bejes (9th in Ranking).

As we know, pure w/kg numbers alone are not the best way to rate performances, which is why these Vingegaard performances are not all the top three in ranking. It still is a good indicator to see how record breaking this climbing season was. In terms of altitude adjusted power, we saw the highest number of performances that broke the Red 'Generational' trendline since 1996, with a total of 16, this can be seen in the graph below.

This is in large part thanks to Jonas Vingegaard, who was not only part of all 10 entries in the ranking, but also for 8 of the 'Generational' altitude adjusted performances. This makes his 2023 campaign the season with the largest amount of these performances in cycling history, with the full ranking seen below.

The eight performances this year are enough to put Jonas Vingegaard second in the all-time career ranking, behind Marco Pantani with 18 and ahead of Heras, Indurain, Zülle and Ullrich, who all managed to achieve five in their career. There is now a serious argument to put Jonas Vingegaard as the second best climber in cycling history by the numbers and his 2023 season as one of the top three climbing seasons ever, if not the best.

Listing all these achievements should make it obvious, that Jonas Vingegaard is the best climber in the world by a large margin, but also showcases his incredible consistency - he was able to ride at 'best climber in the world' level in all of his World Tour races, except Paris Nice, where he performed below standard.

It remains to be seen if the climbing level will once again increase in 2024 and if there will be an actual challenger for Vingegaard in the new season.

Gabriel Stróżyk (@NaichacaCycling)

UAE Wins Annual Ranking and Uno-X Secures Wildcards to 2024 Classics | UCI Final Ranking Analysis

The Tour of Guangxi marked the end of the 2023 season, with UAE Team Emirates winning the overall UCI ranking for the first time in its history. Although Jumbo-Visma’s season has been historic, winning all three Grand Tours and taking the full podium in La Vuelta, UAE has taken advantage of the depth of its squad and scored more points in smaller races. In addition, Lotto Dstny and Israel – Premier Tech have achieved invitations to the entire 2024 WorldTour calendar, while Uno-X will have the right to participate in all WorldTour classics, including the Monuments.

2023 Rankings

UAE has won the ranking with a lead of more than 1,000 points, securing victory in the Italian classics, even though Jumbo won the Tour of Guangxi. As a new scoring system has been introduced this season, it is difficult to make comparisons with last season. However, in the following graph you can see the points that each team would have obtained in the 2023 season under the old scoring system. Jumbo-Visma would have won the ranking with 20,403 points, while last year they won with 15,003 points and UAE was second with 13,323. Regardless of the scoring system changes, it is obvious that both teams have widened their gap to the rest of during this season.

Looking at the graph, the team most disadvantaged by the new scoring system was Uno-X, which would have finished in 19th position with the old system, less than 200 points behind DSM, which is the 18th team. In reality, Uno-X are more than 2,500 points behind DSM, which they will have to cut over the next two seasons if they want to move up to the WorldTour by the end of 2025.

Without the merger between Jumbo-Visma and Soudal-Quickstep, Uno-X, Astana and Arkéa are once again far from the top18, although they have time to recover. The Kazakh team has been the worst WorldTeam for the second year in a row, but at least they are already playing the UCI points game. This last month they have competed in the Tour de Langkawi, the Tour de Kyushu and the Tour of Türkiye, as well as obtaining 625 UCI points in the Asian Games, with almost no WorldTour rivals. In addition, Arkéa has also improved with the signing of Arnaud Démare, who has achieved 658 UCI points and two victories in just two months of racing with the team.

Jayco Alula, one of the teams that struggled the most last year to stay in the WorldTour, is still keeping a close eye on UCI points. They have extended their trip to China by an extra week to compete in the Hong Kong Challenge (1.1), which will count for the 2024 season, but is equally important for the triennial ranking. On the other hand, Israel – Premier Tech will have enjoyed their trainee Riley Sheehan’s surprise victory of the Paris – Tours, but cannot add the 316 points Sheehan has earned since August, as trainees do not score points for the team.

Being the end of the season, it is a good time to make an analysis of the correlation between racedays of a cyclist and the UCI points achieved this season. In the graph below, you can see that most of the riders competed between 51 and 70 race days. The number of riders starts to drop between 71 and 80 days and finally only 19 riders were able to compete in more than 80 days.

On average, the cyclists who have performed best are those who have raced between 61 and 70 days, although the few who have raced more than 80 days have also averaged more than 600 UCI points. This is explained by the fact that they are cyclists of high quality and experience, such as Landa, Caruso or Rui Costa, who focus on stage races.

In the interactive chart below, you can see the points of all the riders of the 22 teams aiming for WorldTour licenses.

2024 Wildcards

Without any mergers or dissolving teams, next season there will still be two wildcards available to the entire WorldTour, for Lotto Dstny and Israel – Premier Tech, and one wildcard to all WorldTour classics, for Uno-X. The Norwegian team has resisted pressure from TotalEnergies, the latter of which will be left without automatic wildcards after having enjoyed them this season.

If Lotto and Israel do not withdraw from any Grand Tours, there will only be two discretionary wildcards in the hands of the organisers of the Giro, Tour and Vuelta. In the case of the Tour de France, TotalEnergies and Uno-X are the clear favourites, but in the Giro and Vuelta there will be many more candidates than places available. By UCI regulations, the Giro must invite at least one Italian team to ensure a national entry, which further complicates the entry of Tudor and Q36.5, two growing projects with links to Italy but registration in Switzerland. In the following image, you can see a summary of the situation.

On another note, all ProTeams, except Novo Nordisk, have finished in the top 50 of the UCI ranking and will be eligible for the Grand Tours in 2024. Also TDT-Unibet, which will be promoted to ProTeam, will be able to apply for wildcards to the Grand Tours despite finishing 51st this season. For the new ProTeams, the UCI points of their riders of the next season are considered and the TDT-Unibet signings will be enough to fulfil this requirement. It is worth remembering that in 2024, ProTeams will have to finish in the top40 of the UCI ranking and from 2025 in the top30 to be eligible for Grand Tours.

Olympic Rankings

The Olympic rankings have also been finalised with the end of the season, and there has been excitement right up to the last races. Only 90 men and 90 women will be able to take part in the Paris 2024 road races and only the top5 countries in each gender will be able to take the maximum of 4 riders, which will be a tactical advantage in such an open race.

In the men’s ranking, Spain has not been able to complete the comeback against France due to the crashes of Mas and Landa in Lombardia, and will only be able to take 3 riders to Paris. In addition, Ecuador will only have one quota spot, so Richard Carapaz will defend the Olympic title without teammates. In the following image you can see the available places for your nation.

In the women’s ranking, Daria Pikulik’s final rush almost put Poland in the top 5, only 34 points behind Great Britain. In addition, in the Chinese WWT races, Belarus and Ireland have secured one quota at the last minute, with surprising performances by Hanna Tserakh and Mia Griffin. There is still confusion because in the final official UCI ranking they have forgotten to add some races, such as the Giro Donne or the Cuban National Championships. With those points, Cuba would get two quotas for Paris 2024 ahead of China. As the UCI revises its official ranking, in the following image you can see the ranking graph with those races added.

Pogačar Sets a New Record on Passo di Ganda | Il Lombardia 2023

Tadej Pogačar keeps adding monument wins to his palmares, winning his third Il Lombardia in a row. After not being able to distance everyone on Passo di Ganda, Pogačar attacked on the descent and soloed to his fifth monument victory.

Il Lombardia 2023 profile

UAE’s Slovenian superstar was the main favourite to win Lombardia after being victorious in 2021 and 2022, beating Fausto Masnada and Enric Mas in a sprint. Pogačar prepared for Lombardia with four Italian classics, running 2nd in Giro dell’Emilia, 3rd in Coppa Sabatini, 4th in Giro della Toscana and 5th in Tre Valli Varesine. Primož Roglič and Remco Evenepoel, who both started in La Vuelta, were the other two big contenders. Unfortunately for the Belgian champion he crashed early in the race with more than 200 km to go. Evenepoel continued but the hard crash definitely affected his race performance.

Bergamo – Italiy – cycling – cyclisme – radsport – wielrennen – Remco Evenepoel (BEL – Soudal – Quick Step) pictured during 117th Il Lombardia (1.UWT) a one day race Como > Bergamo (238km – Photo: Luca Bettini/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

238 kilometres with 4,646 metres of climbing makes Lombardia one of the hardest one-day races of the year. The main climb this year was Passo di Ganda, where in 2021 Pogačar attacked and later was caught on the descent by Fausto Masnada. Passo di Ganda is a relatively easy climb as the average gradient of the first six kilometres are little bit above 6%, where drafting is extremely important, while the last two kilometres, where the action usually happens, average almost 9%.

Before Passo di Ganda there was a big crash in the peloton with Richard Carapaz, Esteban Chaves, Mikel Landa, Matteo Jorgenson and other strong riders going down. Before the climb Nick Schultz sitting in the peloton spent 4,483 kilojoules for 4:53h. The intensity was not that high for a monument one day race, averaging 13.50 kj/kg/h, but the legs were surely still fatigued after climbing for almost 5 hours.

Pogačar’s teammate Adam Yates attacked early on Ganda, making the pace harder and forcing Jumbo-Visma to spend their energy with Atilla Valter in pursuit. Evenepoel did not look good and was distanced quickly like in the 2021 edition.

Pogačar and Roglič both were looking at each other, while Michael Woods, Chris Harper, Adam Yates, Richard Carapaz, Aleksandr Vlasov, Simon Yates and Andrea Bagioli made the split and got a gap on the big contenders. Pogačar later bridged to the first group and dropped Roglič who was struggling. Despite Pogačar attacking, and being joined by a very strong Aleksandr Vlasov, Roglič was able to claw back the lead duo with Simon Yates and Carlos Rodriguez close to this wheel. At the crest of Passo di Ganda the best climbers were together before Pogačar attacked on the descent.

Bergamo – Italiy – cycling – cyclisme – radsport – wielrennen – Tadej Pogacar (SLO / UAE-Team Emirates) pictured during 117th Il Lombardia (1.UWT) a one day race Como > Bergamo (238km – Photo: Luca Bettini/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Pogačar, Vlasov, Roglič, S. Yates and Bagioli climbed Passo di Ganda in 23 minutes and 8 seconds, setting a new climbing record. In 2021 Pogačar did Passo di Ganda in 23:14 min, while the second group did it in 23:44 min. Compared to other 2023 races, the ᵉW/Kg were not high. 6.33 – 6.34 ᵉW/Kg for the riders in the first group is not anything special for 2023 standards, but it comes at the end of nearly 9 months of full gas racing for many of these riders.

Pogačar demonstrated his improved descending skills off Passo di Ganda compared to 2021, opening a significant gap over his chasers. On the flat before Colle Aperto the UAE superstar benefited from group 2 syndrome, with his rivals unable to work well together. Despite cramps in the legs he won his third Il Lombardia in a row in convincing fashion. Bagioli won the bunch sprint behind getting his biggest result in World Tour races, while Roglič in his final race in Jumbo-Visma finished 3rd, beating his future teammate Vlasov.

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UAE Hold off Jumbo while Uno-X and Total fight for Wildcards | UCI September Ranking Analysis

With less than a month of the season to go, several important battles in the UCI rankings are still open. UAE Team Emirates leads Jumbo-Visma by only 387 points in the race to win the annual ranking, after Jumbo’s full podiums in La Vuelta and European Championships. In addition, Uno-X leads Total Energies by 281 points in the race for automatic invitations to next year’s WorldTour classics, but they could be the wildcards for the entire WorldTour if the merger between Jumbo and QuickStep materialises. Also at stake are the quota places for the Paris Olympics, with very narrow margins between some of the top nations.

2023 Rankings

It seems surprising that the team that has won Giro, Tour and Vuelta and recently occupied the podium of the European Championships is not leading the UCI ranking. However, UAE’s season has also been impressive and they are making the most of the smaller races, such as the Tour of Luxembourg this past week, where they have put four men in the top seven of the GC. Without the points obtained by UAE in Luxembourg, Jumbo-Visma would have overtaken UAE in the UCI ranking.

If we analyse the points per race category, we can see that Jumbo-Visma has scored more in the WorldTour and World Championships, but UAE has made the difference in the ProSeries and .1 races, where they have scored 2,600 UCI points more than Jumbo Visma. In any case, the difference with the other teams is enormous.

According to ProCyclingStats, UAE will take part in 14 races until the end of the season, while Jumbo will take part in 10. In addition, Vingegaard and Kuss will not race for the remainder of the season, so Roglic and Van Aert will take the main responsibility for scoring the necessary UCI points. However, it seems that Wout van Aert will race the Gravel World Championships instead of Lombardia or Paris-Tours, which will benefit UAE, as gravel does not award UCI points. As a reminder, the 2023 season will officially end right after the Tour of Guangxi on 17 October.

On another note, the news of the possible merger between Jumbo-Visma and Soudal-QuickStep could potentially affect the relegation battle. It is unclear whether a ProTeam (e.g. Israel, Tudor or Q36.5) could buy the surplus WorldTour licence or, on the contrary, we would have a 17-team WorldTour in 2024. In a hypothetical purchase of a WorldTour licence, the UCI would also have to decide whether the buyer also acquires the seller’s UCI points or not. In recent years there have been three licence purchases by 2nd division teams: CCC from BMC in 2019, Israel from Katusha in 2020 and, most recently, Intermarché from CCC in 2021.

If one of the ProTeams does not purchase the available licence, the UCI can also allocate the one remaining licence if there are less than 18 registered WorldTeams.

If less than 18 teams are registered as UCI WorldTeams (following procedures for the award of licenses or annual registration), the Professional Cycling Council decides if and when the available licences can be allocated. Any such allocation shall, in principle, not take place, before the end of the following season.

Article 2.15.009

In any case, at the end of 2025 the UCI will again distribute 18 WorldTour licences to the 18 teams with the most UCI points in the cumulative ranking from 2023-2025. A merger would be good news for the teams now outside the top 18, such as Astana, Arkéa, Uno-X and TotalEnergies, as it would increase their chances of getting a WorldTour licence for the next licence cycle (2026-2028). Currently, those four teams are between 2,000 and 3,000 points below the 18th position, marked by AG2R Citroën.

Teams in need of points will have good opportunities in October. In addition to the usual calendar, there will be two Continental Games, which will distribute points as if they were continental championships. From 3-5 October are the Asian Games, where especially Astana can score hundreds of “easy” UCI points. Also, on 22 and 29 October, the Juegos Panamericanos will be held, which will already count for the 2024 season, but are equally important points in the cumulative ranking of the three-year period.

In the interactive chart below, you can see the points of all the riders of the 22 teams aiming for WorldTour licenses. It is especially useful to look at the 20 riders scoring points in UAE and Jumbo, who are fighting to win the ranking, and in Uno-X and Total, who are fighting for the wildcards.

2024 Wildcards

The fight for wildcards would also be affected if a merger of Jumbo and QuickStep occurs and the remaining WorldTour licence is not sold or re-allocated by the UCI. The UCI regulations contemplate the possibility of a 17-team WorldTour to distribute the wildcards. In that case, the top 3 ProTeams would have automatic invitations to the entire WorldTour, while the fourth ProTeam would have invitations only to the WorldTour classics.

Lotto and Israel have already secured their ticket to the whole WorldTour calendar in 2024, so Uno-X would be the team to benefit the most, as they are currently the third ProTeam. However, their lead is only 281 points over TotalEnergies. With so few races to go, this is not a trivial advantage, but anything can still happen. If they obtain a newly available third wildcard to the entire 2024 WorldTour, Uno-X could make their debut in the Giro and Vuelta, after making their debut in the Tour de France this season.

Olympic Rankings

The men’s and women’s Olympic rankings are also very close at the end of the season. The top 5 nations will be able to field a maximum of four riders in the Olympic Road Race in Paris, but those positions have yet to be decided. The rankings will be finalised after the Tour of Guangxi for both men and women.

In the men’s ranking, Spain has recovered much of its disadvantage with France and Great Britain in the fight for the top 5. In the Italian classics and the Tour of Guangxi, they can take advantage of Mas, Landa, Bilbao, Rodríguez or Ayuso to overtake France or Great Britain. France will count on the great form of Pavel Sivakov, while Great Britain will depend mainly on the Yates brothers. The fight will probably be open until the Tour of Guangxi.

In the women’s rankings, Switzerland, Great Britain, France, Australia and Poland are still in contention for the top5. Although Switzerland and Great Britain have a significant lead, there are still the two Chinese races of the Women’s WorldTour, where the ranking could change. In the image below, you can see the position of your nation.

Evenepoel Rides Away on Cruz de Linares | La Vuelta 2023 Stage 18

Remco Evenepoel dominated the breakaway of La Vuelta Stage 18, achieving his 50th pro victory at age 23, while Jumbo-Visma worked for their leader Sepp Kuss, who survived the high pace on the final climb made by Bahrain-Victorious, keeping his leader’s jersey.

La Vuelta 2023 Stage 18 profile

After a Jumbo-Visma civil war on Angliru, it was a relatively calm day on Stage 18, with the breakaway going early and obtaining a huge gap over the peloton as Jumbo-Visma was happy to give away the bonus seconds and stage win. With two Cruz de Linares (8.2 km, 8.6%) ascents at the end of the course, it was going to be a day for climbers.

Remco Evenepoel was the big favourite from the breakaway with Max Poole, Damiano Caruso, Egan Bernal, Andreas Kron, Julien Bernard and others trying to challenge the Belgian champion. Despite being alone in the group with no teammates it was a perfect day for Evenepoel as the first half of the Linares ascent was over 10% gradient, which was suited for a high w/kg climber. Evenepoel had strong legs, did a lot of pacing in the middle of the stage and rode away from everyone on the first of the two Linares ascents, dropping Poole as the last rider.

La Cruz de Linares – Spain – cycling – Remco Evenepoel (BEL – Soudal – Quick Step) – Max Poole (GBR / Team DSM-Firmenich) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 18 – Pola de Allande > La Cruz de Linares (178.9km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Evenepoel did 6.53 ᵉW/Kg for 24:40 min on the first ascent and 6.17 ᵉW/Kg for 25:55 on the second time up Linares when he already had the stage win secured. No one came close to challenging him, as Evenepoel beat second-place finisher Damiano Caruso by 4 minutes and 44 seconds, for his 50th pro victory and 3rd stage victory in the 2023 Vuelta. There is still a single mountain day left on Stage 20 but it does not have the hard climbs of Stage 18.

In the peloton, it was a calm day compared to Angliru. Bahrain-Victorious again were pacing as they still had a strong climbing team even with Caruso in the breakaway. The peloton did the first Linares ascent in 25:05 min with 6.22 ᵉW/Kg. A decent pace but not too hard, slower than a practically solo Remco Evenepoel.

Wout Poels pulling for Mikel Landa

It was a long stage with a higher kilojoule count than the Angliru and Tourmalet explosive stages. Steff Cras spent before the final climb 4,024 kilojoules for 4:32h, which is 13.22 kj/kg/h. Not a high intensity but it was more of a difficult endurance test than most of La Vuelta's climbing stages.

After Poels and Tiberi had done their job, Landa tried to attack and move to the fourth place in the GC ahead of Juan Ayuso but it was not enough. Vingegaard acted as a domestique and brought back Landa and paced the rest of the climb with Kuss and Roglič in his wheel. Landa and Ayuso tried later to attack again as the pace was not super high but were brought back.

Vingegaard working for Kuss

In the end, it was not a straightforward day for many of the other GC contenders, with Cian Ujitdebroeks, Aleksandr Vlasov and Joao Almeida losing almost a minute to the main GC group. Kuss, Mas, Ayuso and Roglič finished together, with Landa and Vingegaard losing three and nine seconds respectively in the final metres.

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Despite Jumbo-Visma being calm, it was a very hard final ascent of La Cruz de Linares. Jonas Vingegaard did the final climb in 24:09 min, pushing 6.60 ᵉW/Kg. Kuss, Roglič, Mas and Ayuso did 6.54 ᵉW/Kg. Kuss proved that he is not fading at all, surviving such a hard climb, and going one step closer to his first Grand Tour victory.

Jumbo-Visma Torches Altu de L’Angliru | La Vuelta 2023 Stage 17

Jumbo-Visma again dominated on a mountain stage with an entertaining performance from Primož Roglič who attacked his teammate and race leader Sepp Kuss, with Jonas Vingegaard following the Slovenian, despite all three at that point leading the race without any other rival teams.

Vuelta a Espana 2023 Stage 17 profile

Altu de L’Angliru (12.20 km, 10.49%) is one of the steepest climbs in pro cycling with gradients going way over 10% in the second half of the climb. Jumbo-Visma began the day leading the Vuelta overall classification with three riders, Sepp Kuss, Jonas Vingegaard and Primož Roglič. All of them are the strongest climbers in the race which is a unique situation in the modern era of Grand Tours.

As expected it was going to be a GC day as the breakaway did not get enough gap from Jumbo’s rouleurs to stand a chance against the mighty Bahrain-Victorious train with Tiberi, Caruso, Buitrago, Poels and Landa who was fighting for the 4th spot in the GC against Ayuso and Soler. Remco Evenepoel was the last survivor of the breakaway but a minute gap before Angliru was not enough. The high pace in the GC group was one of the reasons why the gap was small as Marc Soler launched early with 52 km to go, ignoring his 6th place in the overall classification and later losing many minutes on the steep climb.

Altu de LÕAngliru – Spain – cycling – Marc Soler (ESP – UAE Team Emirates) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 17 – Ribadesella/Ribeseya > Altu de LÕAngliru (124.4km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

It was not a high fatigue day as Steff Cras spent 2,545 kilojoules for 2:36h before the climb, at a reasonable intensity of 14.67 kj/kg/h. A low kilojoule day from Jumbo-Visma riders tends to benefit Roglič compared to Kuss and Vingegaard, who both excel on extremely difficult days.

Bahrain-Victorious had an insanely strong team, setting a high and steady pace on Angliru. Wout Poels in the 2017 La Vuelta finished together with his then teammate Chris Froome on the hard climb, setting the fastest time that day, and finished second behind Juan Jose Cobo in 2011. Poels again was lethal on the steep ramps with Landa and the Jumbo-Visma big three were the only survivors.

Bahrain Victorious mountain train

After Poels finished his job and Landa started to set a lower pace, Kuss, Roglič and Vingegaard were the only ones in the front. Despite Sepp Kuss having helped Roglič in many Grand Tours and being the race leader, the Slovenian gifted the American on his 29th birthday more pain and accelerated in the final kilometres. Vingegaard was not helping Roglič and was sitting on his wheel, while Kuss was fighting for the red jersey against his teammates.

Altu de LÕAngliru – Spain – cycling – Primoz Roglic (SLO – Jumbo – Visma) – Jonas Vingegaard (DEN – Jumbo – Visma) – Sepp Kuss (USA – Jumbo – Visma) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 17 – Ribadesella/Ribeseya > Altu de LÕAngliru (124.4km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Roglič won his 12th Vuelta stage and finished with Vingegaard who probably could have gone faster, while Kuss with a little help from Landa lost 19 seconds on the stage not counting bonus seconds and kept his leader’s jersey but Vingegaard (+0:08) and Roglič (+1:08) cut the gap. Ayuso lost +1:42 on Angliru to Roglič and is almost three minutes behind the Slovenian in the GC as the best non-Jumbo-Visma rider.

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The legendary Robert Heras record of 41 minutes was not broken but it was close. Roglič and Vingegaard climbed Angliru in 41:24 min, pushing 6.43 ᵉW/Kg. Many riders broke their 40+ minute power records in this race as the climb was steep, well paced by Bahrain-Victorious early, relatively low kilojoules before the base and at low altitude. Vingegaard if he went full gas and attacked Roglič probably could have broken Heras’ record. The level of climbing is extremely high as Roglič, Vingegaard, Landa, Kuss and Poels beat Chris Horner’s incredible time (42:15 min) set in the 2013 La Vuelta which until this day was the second fastest ascent on Angliru. Roglič and Vingegaard were 29 seconds faster than Heras on the steep section of the climb, which means that most of the time was lost against the legendary Spaniard during the first six kilometres which were not that steep and had the pace set by Bahrain. Roglič and Vingegaard on the steep part did 6.75 ᵉW/Kg for 26:28 min.

Kuss is the shape of his life and has performed exceptionally on mountain stages in this Vuelta, protecting his leader's jersey from his teammates Roglič and Vingegaard. There are two more mountain days left on stages 18 and 20. Tomorrow it will be a hard mountain top finish on La Cruz de Linares (8.3 km, 8.5%), where Roglič likely might try again to attack with Vingegaard following his wheel and Kuss trying his best not to lose the lead.

Vingegaard Delivers another Historical Performance | Vuelta a Espana 2023 Stage 16

Jonas Vingegaard is continuing to impress in the 2023 season. The Dane attacked early on the final climb in La Vuelta Stage 16 and beat his GC rivals on the short Bejes climb by more than a minute thanks in part to a disorganised chase behind him and his high pace.

La Vuelta Stage 16 2023 profile

It was a typical Vuelta stage, just 120-kilometres after the final rest day with an irregular low-altitude climb in the finale. Bejes at 4.9 kilometres at 8.5% gradient offered a chance for early attacks from the GC group as it included extended 10%+ gradient sections at the start and finish.

Jumbo-Visma before the climb had everything under control. The breakaway was caught and Attila Valter paced the first part of Bejes as hard as he could with Vingegaard, Kuss and Roglič behind him. It was clear that Roglič or Vingegaard from Jumbo-Visma would attack as the Hungarian champion was the last remaining mountain domestique with still 10 minutes remaining on the climb.

Valter pulling the GC group

Like on Tourmalet, it was the Tour de France champion Vingegaard who attacked very early before the first steep section ended. It was similar to O Gran Camiño where Valter was the last man before the Dane launched on the steep and short climbs, with no one challenging him. Vingegaard immediately opened a huge gap and in the GC group, there was not a single team that began to chase with commitment. UAE-Emirates rider Finn Fisher Black even dropped everyone from the GC group after Mas let his wheel go, but stayed in no man’s land for the whole climb as he did not have the watts to close the gap to Vingegaard.

Vingegaard attacks

UAE was not united for Ayuso, with Almeida refusing to pull and then electing to attack whilst Soler was probably trying his best to not drop as both of them were fighting for a high position in the overall classification. The chase continued to be disorganised and the GC group was so slow that even Valter returned to the group, while Vingegaard was gaining a lot of time on the short climb. Some non-GC threats like Bauke Mollema, Michael Storer, Wout Poels et al even attacked the group to fight for minor places on the stage.

Clearly, Primož Roglič was not happy with the situation and attacked the GC favourites with Mas and Ayuso chasing the Slovenian down, with the red jersey Kuss suffering in the wheels.

Roglič attacks

In the end, Vingegaard won the stage, beating Fisher-Black by 43 seconds on a 13-minute climb, while Jumbo-Visma’s biggest rivals Ayuso and Mas lost 61 seconds to the Dane not gaining a single bonus second. Kuss lost four seconds to the Ayuso, Mas, Vlasov and Roglič group but remained as the GC leader. Before the mighty Angliru stage, Vingegaard is only 29 seconds behind the American, while Ayuso is more than two minutes behind the Dane.

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All the climbing conditions were perfect – low altitude climb, easy stage after a rest day and low 18 degrees temperature for Spain in early September. Jonas Vingegaard climbed Puerto de Bejes in 13:11 min pushing an estimated 7.40 ᵉW/Kg – one of the greatest unipuerto climbing performances in cycling history. Finn Fisher-Black who chased Vingegaard alone and finished 43 seconds behind pushed 6.96 ᵉW/Kg. The GC group with Roglič, Ayuso, Mas and Vlasov did only 6.65 ᵉW/Kg but could have gone much faster had there been a proper chase.

The climb was irregular and had flatter sections, which makes calculation more difficult than on other climbs, but Vingegaard has already done such performances multiple times in 2023 and on Bejes the conditions were absolutely perfect for high W/Kg.

Vingegaard is having perhaps the greatest climbing season of all time outside of Marco Pantani. Unlike in previous years, in 2023 Vingegaard has been lethal on shorter, punchy Spanish climbs, winning convincingly in O Gran Camiño on Monte Trega and Alto do Castelo as well as destroying the field in the Basque Country on Alto de Arrate - Izua. Tomorrow the rider's face a different prospect, the fearsome Angliru, with 6km at over 13% gradient. It will be interesting to see whether Vingegaard will be unleashed, if Kuss can keep the red jersey or whether Ayuso or Mas can make known their bid for the GC podium.

Jumbo-Visma Complete Domination on Tourmalet | La Vuelta 2023 Stage 13

Jumbo-Visma continues to impress in the 2023 season, today making a huge leap towards a La Vuelta GC win with their three team leaders Jonas Vingegaard, Sepp Kuss and Primož Roglič finishing 1-2-3 on the Col du Tourmalet, while their main threat Remco Evenepoel lost 27 minutes on the stage and ended his GC hopes.

La Vuelta 2023 Stage 13 profile by La Flamme Rouge

It was by far the hardest Vuelta stage of this edition, with Col d’Aubisque, Col de Spandelles and Col du Tourmalet (West Side) in a single stage. The mountains made famous by Le Tour de France were a big test for all of the riders. Early in the stage there were signs that Joao Almeida was not feeling well, alongside Remco Evenepoel, both dropping on the first big mountain of the day, the Col d’Aubisque. The Belgian had an off-day at the worst moment and lost his GC hopes completely.

Col du Tourmalet – France – cycling – Remco Evenepoel (BEL – Soudal – Quick Step) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 13 – Formigal Huesca la Magia : Col du Tourmalet (134.7km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Aubisque was paced very hard as the GC group did it in 44:07 minutes with 5.84 ᵉW/Kg. Break formation also contributed to an extremely high pace already on this first high mountain of the day. Australian Michael Storer was the fastest on the climb with a time of 43:30 min and 6.02 ᵉW/Kg. Record holder Michael Rasmussen did Aubisque in the 2007 Tour in 43:18 min, only a little bit faster than KOM point chasers in La Vuelta 2023.

After Aubisque, Jonas Vingegaard, Sepp Kuss, Mikel Landa and Damiano Caruso went on a descent raid and opened a gap over the peloton where UAE-Emirates were forced to chase hard. They gained a 40 second advantage before Spandelles but were caught with Finn Fisher-Black working well for his team leader Juan Ayuso. The Roglič group did Spandelles in 31:45 min with 5.79 ᵉW/Kg. This is 1:48 min slower than Vingegaard and Pogačar in the 2022 Tour before the Hautacam but there was still left the final big climb of the day, Col du Tourmalet.

The GC group riders already had spent a lot of energy before the Pyrenean giant, with Steff Cras spending 3,105 kilojoules for 3:02h, which is 15.43 kj/kg/h. A short and intensive stage with a huge power output on the big climbs. There was a small headwind on Tourmalet but not enough to stop these riders breaking climbing records.

After Remco Evenepoel’s downfall it was Jumbo-Visma’s big chance to put more time on their main rivals Enric Mas and Juan Ayuso. With eight km to go, Vingegaard launched his first attack which was closed but the Dane attacked again soon after, and this time Mas could not close the gap immediately. Ayuso was marked by Roglič and Kuss who were sitting in the small GC group with Cian Uijtdebroeks trying his best to keep up with the leaders. Mikel Landa later joined the group with Mas and Ayuso chasing the Tour de France winner who had opened a decent gap. Marc Soler, Aleksandr Vlasov and Steff Cras were in Group 3 trying to consolidate their GC position as best they could.

Col du Tourmalet – France – cycling – Jonas Vingegaard (DEN – Jumbo – Visma) escape – breakaway pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 13 – Formigal Huesca la Magia : Col du Tourmalet (134.7km) – Photo: Luis Angel Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Ayuso and Mas were not too happy with chasing Vingegaard while his teammates enjoyed the slipstream. With 5.5 km to go Mas attacked the group but the GC leader Kuss was on his wheel. The American Eagle was flying as he later dropped Mas with an acceleration but the Spaniard closed the gap and was annoyed by Jumbo-Visma tactics and stopped riding, with Ayuso bringing them both back. Vingegaard was still in the lead and the gap was getting closer to a minute. The tactics by Mas and Ayuso attacking each other benefitted the Dane as they did not work together to set a steady tempo.

Kuss marking Mas

The Jumbo-Visma show was only just getting started, as Kuss launched on the steep section of Tourmalet at the end. At first he needed to brake, as a spectator was blocking the road, but after he got clear air Kuss flew past everyone.

Col du Tourmalet – France – cycling – Sepp Kuss (USA – Jumbo – Visma) pictured during Vuelta Espana 2023 – 78th edition – stage 13 – Formigal Huesca la Magia : Col du Tourmalet (134.7km) – Photo: Rafa Gomez/SCA/Cor Vos © 2023

Vingegaard won the stage by 30 seconds while in the end Kuss and the other GC riders brought back some seconds in the final kilometre. Roglič finished third on the stage, dropping Ayuso, Uijtdebroeks and Mas, making this a historic Jumbo-Visma 1-2-3 on a big mountain stage in La Vuelta. With Almeida losing almost seven minutes on the stage and Evenepoel 27 minutes, Ayuso and Mas are the biggest threats to the Dutch team. Kuss’ lead in the GC is 1:37 min over Roglič and 1:44 min over Vingegaard. There are left some hard mountain stages but this Grand Tour looks like it will end with Jumbo-Visma sweeping the podium.

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Jonas Vingegaard broke the Col du Tourmalet via D917 record which was previously owned by Thibaut Pinot. The Frenchman in 2019 did the climb in 51:10 min with 5.87 ᵉW/Kg. Pinot drafted almost the whole climb and had a tailwind while Vingegaard attacked early into a slight headwind. The Dane produced 6.09 ᵉW/Kg for 50:47, making this one of the greatest performances of his career after a very intensive day on Aubisque and Spandelles.

Jonas Vingegaard is having an all-time great season with dominating performances in Basque Country, Criterium du Dauphiné and of course the Tour de France. If he wins La Vuelta it might be one of the very best GC seasons of all time but Sepp Kuss will probably need to crack for Vingegaard to win La Vuelta. The Tourmalet is a high altitude climb, finishing over 2,100m, and adjusting his performance for altitude it is in his Top 3, behind his Cote de Domancy time-trial and Col du Tourmalet (East side) final 3 km in the 2023 Tour. Marie Blanque, Puy de Dome, Croix de Fer and Izua-Arrate are his other best career performance, all of which were produced in 2023.

UAE Pull Clear as Arkéa and Astana Fall Deep into relegation zone | UCI August Ranking Analysis

With only a month and a half to go until the end of the season, we can see clear trends in the rankings. UAE Emirates is destined to win the annual ranking thanks to its great competitiveness in almost every race on the calendar. In addition, there is a clear divide between the top 18 teams and the rest, which puts Arkéa and Astana in a delicate situation in just the first year of the triennium.

2023 Ranking

As you can see, UAE has extended its lead over Jumbo-Visma to more than 2,000 points, in part due to Tim Wellens’ overall victory in the Renewi Tour. Matxin, UAE’s general manager, wants to win the UCI ranking for the first time in the team’s history and has brilliantly organised the goals of almost all UAE riders. For example, in this Vuelta a España we can see how the team is fighting the general classification with Ayuso, Almeida and Soler, but they have also lined up Molano for the sprints, who has earned more than 200 UCI points in the first week.

Even though Jumbo can cut some of that deficit in the final two weeks of La Vuelta, UAE will have a full calendar of Italian classics at the end of the season, where they will surely finish off their victory in the UCI rankings. Anyway, there is an even bigger gap between Jumbo, UAE and the rest of the teams. In the following graph, we can see how the sum of UCI points of UAE, Jumbo and Ineos has evolved. Jumbo finished the classics season in the lead, but UAE has been gaining ground ever since. Ineos was only at their level in the first two months of the season and during the Giro.

Regarding the other end of the table, DSM (18th team in the ranking) has had a great month of August, with the victory in the Vuelta TTT, Lorenzo Milesi’s U23 ITT World Championship and Matthew Dinham’s 7th place in the World Championships, among other outstanding results. This has caused Arkéa and Astana’s gap to the top18 to grow considerably. For the remainder of the 2023 season and the next two seasons, Arkéa will have to recover a disadvantage of almost 2,300 UCI points, while Astana will have to recover almost 3,000 UCI points.

To the benefit of Astana and Arkéa, they not only have the option of overtaking DSM, but Israel, Ag2r, Jayco, Intermarché, Movistar and Cofidis are also within a relatively manageable distance. Moreover, with so many teams involved, it’s likely that some of them will drop down a level in the coming seasons through either bad luck or bad management. Movistar in particular will miss Carlos Rodriguez, after Ineos paid the buyout fee to keep him. Perhaps we will see one of these teams rescue Nairo Quintana, as the Colombian was still very competitive in one-week stage races and was instrumental in Arkéa’s promotion to WorldTour in the previous triennium.

Both Arkéa and Astana are moving in the transfer market to improve their situation. Especially Arkéa, who added Arnaud Démare already in August and good points chasers like Vincenzo Albanese, Clément Venturini and Raúl García Pierna will arrive in 2024. However, Warren Barguil and Hugo Hofstetter will leave for two rival teams (DSM and Israel respectively). Astana is also signing logically, bringing in Lorenzo Fortunato, Max Kanter, Henok Mulubrhan, Ide Schelling and Anthon Charmig, all of whom can perform well on the ProSeries and continental calendar.

On the positive side, Lotto Dstny also stood out in August and is on track for a return to the WorldTour in 2026, already being more than 5,300 points clear of the relegation zone. Kron won in Barcelona in La Vuelta, while De Lie, Campenaerts and De Buyst have won 1.1 classics in Belgium and France. In addition, Florian Vermeersch took a strong second place in the GC of the Renewi Tour. The Belgian team has renewed De Lie until 2026, while it is still unknown if Ewan will continue next season, despite having a contract until 2024. If Ewan finally decides to stay for his final year, the team will need to try and repair the relationship so they can get the most out of the Australian sprinter before he leaves Lotto.

In the interactive chart below, you can see the points of all the riders of the 22 teams aiming for WorldTour licenses.

2024 Wildcards

With only a month and a half to go before the end of the season, it is already clear that Lotto and Israel will have wildcards to the entire 2024 WorldTour, including the Grand Tours. Israel will likely race all three Grand Tours, while Lotto will perhaps again forgo the Giro d’Italia to focus on a more suitable alternative calendar. Depending on whether or not Lotto gives up the Giro, there will be two or three wildcards available for the three Italian ProTeams (Bardiani, Eolo and Corratec) plus Tudor and Q36.5, which have signed valuable cyclists in the transfer market and have several Italian riders.

The remaining wildcard for the one-day races, including Monuments, is still up for grabs between Uno-X and TotalEnergies, although Uno-X maintains a lead of over 600 points. This would mean the debut of Uno-X in races such as Milano-Sanremo or Il Lombardia. As you can see in the graph below, Uno-X had a more discreet start to the season, but since June has made a leap in performance, which places them as the third ProTeam now. TotalEnergies is making a comeback, with Geoffrey Soupe’s victory in La Vuelta and the 2nd place of Mathieu Burgaudeau in Plouay, but Uno-X will also score UCI points in Belgian semi-classics in the coming weeks.

Olympic Rankings

The Olympic ranking, which determines the number of cyclists eligible for Paris 2024 per country, takes into account the points in the 2023 season of the top eight men and top five women per nation. This is especially important because there will only be 90 participants in both races and only the top five countries will be allowed to bring the maximum of four riders.

In the men’s ranking, Belgium, Denmark and Slovenia are virtually assured of participation with four riders, while Great Britain should secure it if the Yates brothers perform well in the Canadian classics. The most exciting fight is between France and Spain, the latter of whom is making a comeback in the Vuelta a España, with Ayuso, Mas, Soler and Landa in the top10 of the general classification. In addition, the United States has settled in tenth place in the rankings and will be able to take three riders, while Colombia will only be able to participate with two riders.

As for the women’s ranking, the Netherlands, Italy and Belgium will participate with four cyclists in Paris 2024. However, there is still a very close fight between Switzerland, Australia, Great Britain and France to enter the top5. Also, Denmark and the United States are separated by only 50 points for the tenth position.